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Increasing childlessness in Europe: the contribution of changes in structure and propensity
Maria Letizia Tanturri, Pietro Mozzi

Last modified: 2015-09-05


Childlessness prevalence has dramatically increased in several European countries, while in others it has remained almost stable. This paper focuses on the cohorts born between 1930s and 1950s to study the change occurred in childlessness prevalence in select European countries (namely Austria and Greece for Central-Southern Europe and Romania and Hungary for Eastern Europe). The principle aim is to disentangle between increase of childlessness caused by the structural changes in population (specifically the growth of permanent celibacy or the increase of women education) or/and by a variation in the propensity towards childbearing.  Fairlie’s decomposition technique has been applied to IPUMS census data, in both longitudinal and cross-country cross-section perspective.

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